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How it works, in plain English

  • What does “fading the public” mean?

    Fading the public means taking the opposite side of where most of the public's money is going. Here's how it works, why it exists, and how we apply it.

  • Public money vs. tickets: what the splits actually tell you

    Public splits come in two numbers: the share of tickets and the share of money. They often disagree, and the money number is the one that shows where the house is exposed.

  • How we log and grade every pick

    Every pick is locked before the game, at the price available then, and graded on the final score. Here's exactly how the record is kept, and why nothing gets deleted.

  • Why the house doesn't mind a lopsided game

    The old line is that sportsbooks want balanced action. In practice they regularly carry a side the public is piling onto. Here's why, and what that means for anyone reading public splits.

  • What “units” mean, and why records are counted in them

    A unit is a fixed amount risked on every pick. Counting results in units shows whether an approach actually made money, which a win-loss record alone can't tell you.

  • Why not every lopsided game becomes a pick

    A game can have 95% of the public's money on one side and still not be a pick. Here are the rules that keep a lopsided game off the card.

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